Guerin Catholic
Boys - Girls
2024 - 2025 - 2026
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State Rank #22
Shelbyville Regional Rank #5
Noblesville Sectional Rank #4
Most Likely Finish -
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 1.8%
Advance to State Finals 62.3%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season RatingPreseason Rating Taylor University Opener Hamilton County Brownsburg Invitational All Catholic Invitational Jim Leffler Invitational Circle City Conference XC Town Twilight HSE JV Invitational Noblesville Sectional Shelbyville Regional
Date 8/23 8/30 9/6 9/13 9/20 9/27 10/4 10/6 10/18 10/25
Team Rating 346 417 356 354 365 684 378 313 360 321
Team Adjusted Rating 360 356 354 345 346 378 313 360 321
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Taylor University Opener Hamilton County Brownsburg Invitational All Catholic Invitational Jim Leffler Invitational Circle City Conference XC Town Twilight HSE JV Invitational Noblesville Sectional Shelbyville Regional
56  Chloe Tragesser 9 19:18 19:02 19:21 19:19 19:21 19:29 19:04 19:21 19:10
173  Katherine Kolb 12 20:14 20:29 20:16 20:14 20:14 20:07 20:02 20:13 20:13
180  Brinna Wolf 11 20:16 20:50 20:16 20:06 20:14 20:10 20:20 19:47 20:40 20:16
258  Claire Flannagan 11 20:33 21:54 21:16 20:25 21:14 21:02 20:20 20:20 20:22
275  Jillian Tichenor 9 20:38 21:01 20:59 20:29 20:54 20:54 20:49 20:41 20:27
321  Taylor Tragesser 10 20:50 19:43 20:32 21:17 20:51 20:38 20:53 20:43 21:00 20:59
568  Keira Hines 12 21:39 20:33 21:47 21:55 21:32 21:34 21:32 21:46
588  Delaney Gould 12 21:42 21:53 21:37 21:46 21:28 21:41 21:25 21:25 22:00 22:04
596  Elly Rodgerson 11 21:43 21:47 21:54 21:55 21:23 21:38 21:33
634  Kara Van Woerkom 11 21:51 21:47 21:17 21:37 21:51 21:55 21:40 22:13 21:57
816  Caroline Ford 11 22:18 22:45 22:21 23:02 23:15 21:50 21:47 21:37
908  Lucy Esposito 12 22:30 22:21 22:43 22:14 22:02 22:43 22:32 22:37
1,100  Anna Maurovich 9 23:00 22:14 22:29 23:47 23:12 24:01 23:06 22:03
1,176  Isabella Galvin 12 23:10 22:04 23:16 22:24 23:38 23:28
1,305  Maggie Scott 11 23:29 24:06 24:15 23:25 23:20 23:14 23:20 23:19 23:29




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
State Finals 62.3% 17.8 433 0.1 0.1 0.5 1.2 1.5 1.4 3.2 3.3 5.1 5.1 6.7 6.3 6.0 5.7 5.5 6.3 3.1 1.2 0.3
Regionals 100% 5.1 187 0.7 3.7 8.1 19.9 30.0 25.3 7.8 3.0 0.9 0.3 0.4 0.2
Sectionals 100% 4.3 113 0.5 5.7 18.9 30.2 25.5 19.4



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Chloe Tragesser 98.0% 57.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.4 94.7% 97.7%
Katherine Kolb 62.4% 142.6 0.3% 5.4%
Brinna Wolf 62.3% 147.8 0.0% 3.4%
Claire Flannagan 62.3% 180.4 0.0% 0.2%
Jillian Tichenor 62.3% 188.9 0.0% 0.1%
Taylor Tragesser 62.3% 204.9 0.0% 0.0%
Keira Hines 62.3% 238.0 0.0% 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Chloe Tragesser 100% 11.4 0.1 0.6 1.3 4.0 6.1 6.8 9.0 9.3 9.5 8.3 7.6 6.9 6.4 5.1 4.0 3.2 3.2 2.3 1.4 1.2 0.9 0.7 0.5 100.0%
Katherine Kolb 100% 41.8 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.9 1.1 1.1 1.5 100.0%
Brinna Wolf 100% 44.9 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.6 1.0 1.1 100.0%
Claire Flannagan 100% 59.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Jillian Tichenor 100% 63.6 100.0%
Taylor Tragesser 100% 73.5 100.0%
Keira Hines 100% 114.8 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Chloe Tragesser 5.4 2.5 16.0 22.9 22.4 18.3 7.7 4.7 2.4 1.3 0.8 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1
Katherine Kolb 21.1 0.3 0.6 1.9 2.0 2.3 2.8 3.3 3.5 4.2 4.0 4.1 4.6 6.0 5.8 4.4 5.0 5.1 5.5 3.9
Brinna Wolf 22.5 0.1 0.6 1.0 1.0 2.0 2.3 3.1 2.6 3.2 4.3 3.9 4.6 4.2 4.8 5.0 5.0 5.5 5.8 5.3
Claire Flannagan 30.8 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.6 0.8 0.9 1.3 1.1 1.7 2.4 3.1 3.4 4.3
Jillian Tichenor 32.6 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.6 0.8 0.8 1.1 1.3 1.7 1.9 2.9
Taylor Tragesser 37.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.9 1.0
Keira Hines 44.2