Guerin Catholic
Boys - Girls
2024 - 2025 - 2026
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State Rank #23
Shelbyville Regional Rank #5
Noblesville Sectional Rank #4
Most Likely Finish 20th place at State Finals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 1.2%
Advance to State Finals 55.0%
Advance to Regional 81.3%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season RatingPreseason Rating Taylor University Opener Hamilton County Brownsburg Invitational All Catholic Invitational Jim Leffler Invitational Circle City Conference XC Town Twilight HSE JV Invitational Noblesville Sectional Shelbyville Regional State Finals
Date 8/23 8/30 9/6 9/13 9/20 9/27 10/4 10/6 10/18 10/25 11/1
Team Rating 347 414 360 356 362 686 377 313 365 325 356
Team Adjusted Rating 357 360 356 343 347 377 313 365 325 356
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Taylor University Opener Hamilton County Brownsburg Invitational All Catholic Invitational Jim Leffler Invitational Circle City Conference XC Town Twilight HSE JV Invitational Noblesville Sectional Shelbyville Regional State Finals
61  Chloe Tragesser 9 19:21 19:01 19:22 19:19 19:21 19:29 19:05 19:22 19:10 19:34
173  Katherine Kolb 12 20:13 20:29 20:17 20:14 20:14 20:07 20:03 20:14 20:14 20:20
179  Brinna Wolf 11 20:15 20:50 20:16 20:06 20:14 20:09 20:20 19:48 20:41 20:17 20:16
267  Claire Flannagan 11 20:34 21:54 21:16 20:26 21:14 21:02 20:20 20:21 20:23 20:32
284  Jillian Tichenor 9 20:39 21:01 20:59 20:30 20:53 20:54 20:50 20:42 20:28 20:36
344  Taylor Tragesser 10 20:56 19:43 20:32 21:17 20:52 20:38 20:54 20:43 21:02 21:00 21:20
562  Elly Rodgerson 11 21:39 21:47 21:54 21:56 21:23 21:38 21:33
571  Keira Hines 12 21:40 20:33 21:46 21:56 21:31 21:35 21:32 21:47
614  Delaney Gould 12 21:46 21:53 21:38 21:46 21:27 21:42 21:25 21:26 22:01 22:05 22:21
641  Kara Van Woerkom 11 21:52 21:47 21:16 21:38 21:51 21:54 21:40 22:13 21:58
726  Caroline Ford 11 22:06 22:45 22:20 23:02 23:16 21:50 21:47 21:38
909  Lucy Esposito 12 22:31 22:21 22:44 22:14 22:01 22:44 22:32 22:39
1,102  Anna Maurovich 9 23:01 22:13 22:30 23:48 23:11 24:02 23:06 22:05
1,227  Isabella Galvin 12 23:18 22:04 23:15 22:25 23:37 23:30
1,289  Maggie Scott 11 23:26 24:06 24:14 23:25 23:20 23:13 23:21 23:19 23:31




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
State Finals 55.0% 18.1 436 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.6 0.7 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.4 4.2 5.3 6.6 6.6 6.7 6.3 4.2 2.6 0.9 0.3
Regionals 81.3% 4.9 176 0.4 2.5 9.0 17.1 26.1 21.3 4.0 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0
Sectionals 100% 4.4 113 0.5 4.1 19.1 30.5 27.1 18.7



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Chloe Tragesser 98.9% 59.7 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 97.6% 98.8%
Katherine Kolb 55.7% 141.4 1.5% 9.6%
Brinna Wolf 55.4% 145.7 0.9% 7.1%
Claire Flannagan 55.0% 182.5 0.0% 0.6%
Jillian Tichenor 55.0% 191.1 0.0% 0.1%
Taylor Tragesser 55.0% 213.3 0.0% 0.0%
Delaney Gould 55.0% 239.8 0.0% 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Chloe Tragesser 100% 11.4 0.0 0.4 2.0 4.5 6.5 7.8 8.2 8.9 8.7 8.4 7.9 6.3 5.6 5.3 4.8 3.2 2.6 2.0 1.9 1.3 1.0 0.6 0.7 100.0% 100.0%
Katherine Kolb 100% 40.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.7 1.1 0.9 1.2 1.4 1.6 100.0% 100.0%
Brinna Wolf 100% 41.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.7 0.5 1.0 1.1 1.3 100.0% 100.0%
Claire Flannagan 100% 59.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 100.0% 100.0%
Jillian Tichenor 100% 62.6 0.0 0.1 100.0% 100.0%
Taylor Tragesser 100% 76.5 100.0% 100.0%
Delaney Gould 100% 118.0 100.0% 83.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Chloe Tragesser 5.5 0.1 1.1 15.2 21.6 22.6 18.5 8.8 4.9 2.7 1.8 1.1 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Katherine Kolb 21.1 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.0 2.1 2.4 3.3 3.3 4.1 3.9 4.3 4.5 4.7 4.9 4.8 5.3 5.2 5.0 4.8 5.0
Brinna Wolf 22.1 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.0 1.5 1.9 2.2 2.8 3.2 3.4 4.4 4.2 4.8 4.8 4.5 4.7 5.4 5.3 5.0 4.9
Claire Flannagan 31.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.7 0.8 0.7 1.1 1.3 1.8 1.9 2.8 2.5 3.4
Jillian Tichenor 32.8 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.8 1.1 1.2 1.5 1.6 1.9 2.3
Taylor Tragesser 38.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2
Delaney Gould 44.3